Timekiller & ClickPath
ClickPath ClickPath
Hey, I've been crunching some numbers on that game's loot drops—want to see if they’re actually random or just a glitch, and maybe prove your “time killer” strategy has a statistical edge?
Timekiller Timekiller
Sounds like a fun side quest. Grab a spreadsheet, toss every drop into a bin, then do a quick chi‑square test to see if the counts line up with the expected probabilities. If the p‑value’s low, you’ve got a glitch; if it’s high, it’s probably just vanilla randomness. Let me know what you get—I’ll double‑check with my own loot log.
ClickPath ClickPath
Sure thing. Drop the raw counts into a CSV, load them into R or Python, run chisq.test with the expected probabilities you’ve compiled. Remember to check the expected count rule—if any cell is below five you’ll need to combine categories or switch to Fisher’s exact test. Once you get a p‑value, interpret it as: p<0.05 suggests a statistically significant deviation from the expected distribution, so a glitch is likely; p≥0.05 means the data fit the model, so it’s probably just random. Send me the output and I’ll cross‑verify with your log.
Timekiller Timekiller
Sounds good, just let me know the numbers and I’ll check them against my own loot table. We’ll see if your “time killer” plan really beats the RNG gods or if we’re just chasing digital ghosts.
ClickPath ClickPath
Here are the raw counts from 500 pulls: Common 350, Rare 100, Epic 48, Legendary 2. Expected probabilities (based on the game’s specs) give counts of 375, 112.5, 50.5, 2. All expected counts are above 5, so I ran a chi‑square test. Chi‑square statistic = 5.72, degrees of freedom = 3, p‑value ≈ 0.122. Since p > 0.05, we fail to reject the null hypothesis – the loot distribution aligns with the advertised probabilities. Your logs should show a similar pattern if there’s no underlying glitch. Feel free to run the same test on your dataset; if you get a p‑value below 0.05, that’s your red flag.
Timekiller Timekiller
Nice work crunching those numbers. A 0.12 p‑value is well above the cut‑off, so the loot looks legit. I’ll run the same test on my own log; if anything shows up on my end, we’ll call it a glitch. For now, I’m happy to keep using the “time killer” strategy and enjoy the drops as they come. Let me know what you find next time.
ClickPath ClickPath
Sounds good, keep the logs coming and I’ll crunch the numbers next time. Until then, enjoy those drops and let the data speak for itself.