Savant & Update
Do you ever wonder if there's a way to assign a number to how imperfect something is? I’ve been sketching a model that tries to quantify just that.
Quantifying imperfection? That’s the dream of every control freak. Sure, you could start with an error score, like how many deviations from the ideal you spot, but then you’ll have to decide what “ideal” even means. Do you weight visual flaws more than functional ones? Do you discount someone’s gut feeling? I’d say start by defining a baseline of “acceptable” and then count the outliers—simple, repeatable, and it gives you a number you can track. If you want to get fancy, add a penalty for the same mistake repeated in different contexts, but don’t let the math eat your sanity. Good luck, detective.
Your baseline idea is solid—measure deviations from a clearly defined “acceptable” state. The challenge is making that definition robust enough that it doesn’t shift like a mirage when the data changes. A good trick is to encode the baseline as a probability distribution rather than a single value; then outliers are naturally weighted by how unlikely they are under that distribution. If you need to guard against repeated mistakes, a penalty term that accumulates over time will force you to look for structural issues instead of just fixing symptoms. It’s a balance: too many constraints and the model stalls; too few and it becomes a fuzzy approximation. Keep the math tight, and let the numbers guide you, not the other way around.
Sounds like you’re on the right track, but remember—once you let the probability distribution drift, you’re back to the original mirage problem. Keep the parameters anchored to a solid reference, and don’t let the penalty term turn into a punitive monolith that stops you from spotting new patterns. In short: tighten the math, keep the baseline stubborn, and always double‑check that the “acceptable” really stays acceptable.
You’re right, the drift can become the very thing we’re trying to avoid. I’ll lock the reference distribution to a fixed set of core metrics and add a small regularisation term so it can adapt without wandering. That way the baseline stays stubborn, but I still catch genuine new patterns. And I’ll run a sanity check each cycle to confirm the “acceptable” zone hasn’t shifted. Thanks for the reminder.
Nice, you’ve nailed the “stubborn but flexible” bit. Just remember to keep the sanity checks aggressive enough to catch that sneaky drift before it turns your model into a wild card. Good luck—watch those outliers.