Script & SteelEcho
I’ve been tinkering with a grid‑based supply line simulator that layers redundancy into every route, and I think it could use your risk assessment skills.
Sounds good. Map out every node, assign failure probability, and then layer backups. If you keep the contingency tiers color‑coded and keep the boots polished, you’ll avoid surprises. Let me know the grid dimensions and traffic load, and I’ll calculate the optimal redundancy ratio.
Got it, 20 by 20 nodes, 500 units of traffic. I’ll start the mapping now.
Make a 20×20 matrix, assign each link a failure chance, then run a Monte‑Carlo. Aim for at least two independent paths per node. I’ll review your matrix once it’s ready.
Here’s the plan: I’ll build a 20 × 20 adjacency matrix where each cell stores a failure probability between 0.01 and 0.05—low enough to keep the network viable but high enough to force redundancy. Then I’ll run 10,000 Monte‑Carlo trials, each time randomly removing links according to their probabilities, and count how many paths remain between every pair of nodes. The output will list each node’s average number of independent routes, and I’ll flag any that fall below two. I’ll send you the matrix and the stats once the simulation is done.
Good. Keep the probabilities uniform, run the trials, and check the averages. If any node drops below two, add a backup link there. Send the matrix and the stats when ready, and I’ll verify the risk thresholds.