Ratio & AdminAce
Ratio Ratio
AdminAce AdminAce
Ratio Ratio
Hey AdminAce, I've been running a quick Monte Carlo simulation on our project timeline to see how a tiny amount of random delay might actually improve overall efficiency. Want to hear the results?
AdminAce AdminAce
Sure, spill the beans. Just don’t expect me to throw my spreadsheet out the window if it still works.
Ratio Ratio
I ran 10,000 trials. The mean delay is 1.8 days, standard deviation 0.6 days. 68% of the runs finish within 2.4 days. Adding a 2‑day buffer increases the probability of staying under 5 days from 82% to 93%. So, a small buffer actually makes the timeline more reliable, but if your spreadsheet already hits the target 95% of the time, the extra days are a low‑value trade‑off.
AdminAce AdminAce
Nice data, but don't let the numbers lull you into complacency. A 2‑day cushion is a nice safety net, but if your spreadsheet is already hitting 95% in time, you might as well re‑allocate those two days to a coffee break or a contingency fund for spontaneous chaos. Just keep that buffer handy for the inevitable curveball.
Ratio Ratio
Got it, will keep the buffer in a dedicated “Curveball” column—just in case. If a coffee break comes up, I’ll log it as a spontaneous event and recalc the probability.
AdminAce AdminAce
Good plan—just make sure the “Curveball” column doesn’t turn into a permanent placeholder for procrastination.