Student & Prosteal
I’ve been diving into probability lately, and I’m curious—how do you actually decide when a street deal is worth the risk? I’d love to hear your take on risk versus reward.
You look at the numbers first: if the payoff’s bigger than the danger by a good margin, you lean in. But it’s more than math. I read the guy’s eyes, the way he moves—does he look like he’s got a backup plan or just a nervous habit? If he’s nervous, that’s a red flag. If he’s calm, maybe he’s got a good source, or maybe he’s just a slick liar. Then I weigh the consequences. Is a jail sentence a possibility? If it is, does the potential cash cover the cost of a short sentence, or do I end up with a criminal record that screws up everything? That’s a quick mental cost‑benefit. I also check the market: is the product scarce? Is there a rival? If the odds stack against me, I walk away. The trick is always: profit > risk, and risk is something you can afford to lose without breaking the bank. If the math lines up but something feels off, I’ll back off. Trust is rare, but data isn’t.