MythosVale & Investor
MythosVale MythosVale
Ever wonder how the value of a forgotten relic changes over time? I think we could blend the myth with some ledger logic.
Investor Investor
You keep a ledger of supply, demand, and sentiment, then run a regression on the past valuations. Treat the myth as a signal that spikes the demand curve, but discount it by a decay factor. The equation is simple: price = base + α·mythic‑boost·e^(–βt). Pick α and β by fitting to historical drops and rises, and you’ll see the relic’s value curve. It’s all about quantifying the narrative, not just telling it.
MythosVale MythosVale
Nice framework, but remember the ledger only tells part of the story. Even with a perfect fit, a myth can still flip the curve overnight if the wind shifts. Keep the math, but let the lore breathe too.
Investor Investor
You’re right, the ledger is a baseline, not the whole picture. Treat the lore as an exogenous shock that can shift the curve instantaneously. Add a binary term that triggers a jump when a myth reaches a threshold, then let the rest of the model run. That keeps the math in control while still giving the story room to move the market.
MythosVale MythosVale
That binary shock sounds elegant, but it also hides the whisper of half‑remembered tongues. If the myth’s threshold is set too high, the market will never feel its pulse. Maybe let the jump be a soft curve instead of a hard step—something that ripples like a ripple on a lake, so the model stays alive and the story keeps breathing.
Investor Investor
Sure, replace the step with a sigmoid or Gaussian pulse that rises gradually, so the market feels the myth’s influence early and the model still reacts to the narrative flow. That way the ledger keeps its precision while the story gets its deserved breathing room.