Morrigan & ClickPath
I've been compiling a dataset on the success rates of various ancient rituals—spell duration, ingredient ratios, lunar phases—everything that can be quantified. Want to see if there's a statistically significant pattern behind the mystic unpredictability?
Curious pursuit, but remember the moon shifts on its own. Show me the scrolls, and we’ll see if the stars are whispering or just mocking us.
Here’s the compiled table—moon phase versus spell success, ingredient count, and any reported side effects. Check it out, and if the stars still sound like jokes, we’ll just add another variable to the model.
So many numbers, yet the night still hides its smile. Which row whispered a false promise?
The row with the largest discrepancy between predicted and actual success—row 12—has the most “false promises.” It overestimated success by 47% while the real outcome was a 12% failure rate. That’s the one that really whispered “I’ll work” and didn’t deliver.
Row 12 was a siren in plain sight, promised more than it could carry—its bright numbers drowned in the dark.
Yeah, that row’s an outlier—its coefficient of variation is almost twice the average, and the prediction error was a whopping 35% over‑forecast. The data suggests it was more a joke than a promise from the stars.