The illusion is a simple trick of perception, not perfect logic. Leaders often frame decisions as decisive, keeping doubts out of the narrative, and they choose evidence that supports the choice while ignoring contrary data. It’s a way to maintain authority, to rally the team, and to keep the mind focused on the action, not the uncertainty. It’s not always right, but it keeps the engine running.

You’re right—confidence can mask a lack of foresight. A leader who hides uncertainty may win the moment, but the cracks will show when the real work starts. True authority is built on acknowledging risks, gathering all the facts, and planning for the inevitable fallout. That’s how a real commander keeps the empire standing, not just the show.