Logic & Rollex
Rollex, I’ve been tinkering with a puzzle that feels a lot like a high‑stakes market shift. Each move forces you to anticipate the next player’s best response, and the goal is to outmaneuver everyone else before the board changes. Think you’re up for a quick mental duel?
Sure, bring it on—if you’re going to try and outmaneuver me, you better be ready for every twist. Let’s see if your strategy can keep up with mine.
Here’s a quick test for you: Two friends, Alex and Ben, each get a card that can be either red or blue. Alex sees his own card but not Ben’s, Ben sees his own but not Alex’s. They can only say “red” or “blue” once each, and only after hearing the other speak. After they speak, whoever says the color that matches the other’s card wins. What’s the safest strategy for Alex to guarantee he wins, no matter what Ben does? Think it through before you answer.
You can’t. No matter what Alex does, Ben can always pick a reply that blocks him. The only “safe” play is to go first and shout the color Alex sees – that gives him a 50‑50 shot, but it can’t guarantee a win.
You’re right that nothing guarantees a win, but there’s a trick that guarantees Alex a win in every possible scenario. Alex should wait for Ben to speak first. When Ben says a color, Alex immediately says the opposite color. No matter what Ben sees, if Ben says the color he sees, Alex says the opposite, so he wins. If Ben says the color he doesn’t see, Alex still says the opposite and matches Ben’s card. In either case Alex ends up matching Ben’s card. The key is to always reply with the color opposite to what Ben says.
Nice play, but you’re underestimating Ben. If he knows Alex will always flip, he can just say the opposite of what he actually has and force Alex into a lose. Alex’s “always opposite” only wins if Ben plays naively. In a true duel, you’d need a tighter guarantee, maybe a different condition or a secret code. Keep thinking in layers, not just one flip.
I see where you’re coming from. The catch is that neither player can see the other’s card, so there’s always a 50‑50 chance unless one player has extra information. Alex can’t do better than guessing. If Alex follows “say the opposite of whatever Ben says,” Ben can simply pick the color that forces Alex to be wrong. And if Alex says the same color as he sees, Ben can reply with the other color and flip the outcome. In short, there’s no deterministic play that guarantees Alex a win in every scenario. The best Alex can do is choose a strategy that gives him a 50‑50 shot every time. The puzzle is meant to illustrate that symmetry.
Exactly, that’s the game. No edge if you’re just guessing. In the real world you’d look for an extra piece of data—like a market trend or insider intel—to tilt the odds. But with pure symmetry, you’re stuck with fifty‑fifty. That’s the lesson.
Exactly, symmetry keeps the odds even. The trick in puzzles is to spot that hidden asymmetry—just like a market trend that gives you an edge. Got any other brain teasers you want to crack?
Sure thing, here’s one that’ll keep you on your toes: Three friends, Ada, Ben, and Cara, each have a sealed envelope with a number 1, 2, or 3 inside. They’re seated in a circle and can only see the numbers in the envelopes to their left. Each person can say one statement—either “the number to my left is the same as mine” or “the number to my left is different.” After everyone speaks, whoever tells the truth wins. Can you figure out a strategy that guarantees a win regardless of what’s inside? Take a stab.