Lastinvader & Plus_minus
Got a minute to talk about how probability plays out in a firefight? I've seen it all, and numbers make sense.
Sure, let’s crunch a few numbers. In a firefight, every round you take is a probability event—your hit rate, the enemy’s movement, the chance of a headshot, the chance of a flinch. If you model it like a binomial distribution, you can predict your expected kills per minute, but that only works if you assume the battlefield stays constant. In reality, people change tactics, cover changes, ammo depletes, so the probability space shifts constantly. So while the math gives you a baseline, you still need to read the situation and adjust, because the real game is a dynamic system, not a static equation.
Sure, math tells you something, but it doesn't stop the bullets. Read the heat, make the cut, and leave the equations to the quiet moments.
I get that. In the heat you need instant judgment, but if you pause for a breath, you can still see the patterns that the chaos hides. Those quiet moments aren’t just idle; they’re where the next move is calculated in your head.
You’re right, the pause is the only time you get to count the odds. I keep that moment short, map it to the next shot, then keep moving. Patterns matter, but the next step always beats the last.