Hauk & PuppetMaster
Hauk Hauk
I've been studying how small biases can tip the balance in high-pressure decisions—think of it as a strategic edge. Any thoughts on modeling those subtle shifts for better control?
PuppetMaster PuppetMaster
Model each bias as a tiny hidden variable with a weight that shifts the outcome probability. Treat time pressure as another node and run a quick Bayesian update whenever new evidence arrives. That way you can quantify the tipping point and predict what moves will sway the decision, keeping your opponent scrambling while you stay in control.
Hauk Hauk
That fits the framework I was developing. I’ll encode the hidden variables, set the pressure node, and run the Bayesian update so I can see the tipping point and keep my actions predictable while my opponent stays in the dark.