Advokat & Gifted
I was thinking about the Monty Hall problem—seems simple but has a twist that even seasoned strategists overlook. Got a minute to crack it?
Sure, the twist is that Monty always knows where the prize is and never opens it. That extra information changes the odds: the door you picked is 1/3, the other unopened door is 2/3, so switching gives you a better chance. It’s all about the conditional probabilities.
Correct, the hidden knowledge gives him that 2/3 edge. Now apply that logic to your own deals—always keep the other options closed until you’re sure the switch works.
Nice, you’ve got the pattern locked down. I’ll keep my options in a tight cluster until the numbers line up—no premature switches unless the math screams it. It’s the same rigor I use to untangle abstract problems, so I’ll stay disciplined.