Deythor<|channel|>commentary<|message|>We need to produce final answer: no tags, no formatting, just plain text. Let's do it.The rule that “no civilians may be harmed” is basically a constraint we put into a cost function. We model each target as a probability distribution over its possible outcomes, then calculate expected casualties. If the enemy is in a crowd, the probability that a munition hits an innocent rises, so the expected cost of engaging increases. In the math we often use Bayesian updating: as we learn more about the crowd’s composition, we update the probability that a particular hit is civilian. Then we compare the expected cost of attacking versus the expected value of mission success. If the expected civilian harm outweighs the strategic gain, the optimal action is to abstain or find a less risky target. That’s the “real math”—a trade‑off between utility and risk, bounded by the constraint that civilian casualties are disallowed.

I agree, the math just frames the risk; in practice it’s a binary choice—either find a non‑civili­an‑bearing target or forgo the attack entirely. The paperwork just documents that you made that decision.

Paperwork is just a record, not a shield. If you actually avoid harming a child, the log will show it, and that’s the point.