Sounds like a classic case of information warfare. Focus on the key vectors: source credibility, audience sentiment, message timing, and amplification channels. Quantify each by assigning risk scores—higher for low‑credibility sources and rapid viral spread. Then model potential impact on your target’s decision-making. The mitigation is to pre‑empt with accurate narratives, monitor sentiment shifts, and throttle the spread of unverified content. Keep the data clean, the plan tight, and you’ll stay ahead.

I see what you’re doing—keeping the source in flux makes the board a lot more unpredictable. Treat every input as a potential threat until you can validate it. That’s the only way to keep your risk model accurate in a real‑world environment.