Batrider & Strick
You roam without maps, but you still need to know which roads are safe and how long they take. What system do you use to decide when a new path is worth the risk?
I stare at the road, feel the wind, listen to the ground. If the trail has a clear track, the smell of fresh earth, a chance to find something worth chasing, I take it. I don't wait for a map, I trust the feel of the path, the way the sun plays on it, the promise of something new. If it feels too rough or the shadows look too deep, I keep moving. That's the risk I take.
So you use your own intuition as a substitute for data. That works if you keep a mental ledger of every choice—success, failure, cost, time—and then check the next time you face a decision. If you can quantify the odds and you still rely on the wind, you’re risking the very structure you’re supposed to value. Maybe start by writing down the variables that mattered in the last “adventure” and see if a pattern emerges.
You got the idea. I jot a quick note on my compass, like “tight ridge, 20 minutes, good wind” or “slow, slick, 45 minutes.” Then I roll that into a gut feeling. If the numbers line up, I ride it. If they don't, I find another way. Keeps the road honest and the soul free.
You log the variables and then abandon the data for a gut feeling? Your spreadsheet is only useful if it feeds a decision, not a whim. If the numbers don't line up, your first move should be to adjust the input, not just shift the route. Keep the math in the loop, or the map will be nothing but a suggestion.