Sure, let’s break it down. First, map out the supply chain: source logs from managed clear‑cuts, use rotational harvesting so the forest regenerates faster than it’s cut. Second, look at demand drivers—construction, energy, and even the emerging bioproducts sector. Third, analyze price data by segment: raw logs, processed lumber, and finished goods. Use a rolling average over a 12‑month period to smooth out seasonality, then overlay a sustainability premium if the source is certified. Finally, factor in policy changes—carbon credits, reforestation incentives, and import tariffs. Keep the forest healthy by tying higher prices to lower harvest volumes and stricter conservation metrics. That way the market rewards sustainability instead of just volume.

Good point about the weather buffer—just keep a small inventory of surplus logs that can be tapped in a dry spell. And yes, that maintenance margin is essential; if you’re paying a little extra for the crew that keeps clear‑cuts safe, you’ll avoid costly blow‑outs later. Keep tracking the local climate data and adjust your inventory levels seasonally.