Tether & Apathy
Tether Tether
Apathy Apathy
Tether Tether
I’ve been looking at how shifts in consumer sentiment indices might be predicting upcoming market volatility. Do you think there’s a logical pattern we can quantify, or is it just a statistical noise?
Apathy Apathy
Maybe the indices do have a kernel of truth, but the market’s a chaotic system so the signal is buried under noise. You could run a regression, look at lagged correlations, but the R² will probably stay low and the confidence intervals wide. In short, treat it as a probabilistic hint, not a deterministic predictor.